04 October 2011

NCAA Week 6

Not many interesting games this week.  I really had to scrounge around just to pick these. . .

Oklahoma at Texas +10.  The Pantywaist Bowl for fagging rights in the Big Whatever It Was.  The experts don’t think much of Texas, giving them 10.  Texas has improved their running game a little bit this year, and now has another frail little McCoy at QB.  In this battle of two over-rated finesse teams, I’ll take the one getting the 10.  Texas.

Florida +14 at LSU.  Ol’ Les Miles usually has a dud or two every season, where his team plays down to the competition, and struggle for 60 minutes before finally winning on some unbelievable fluke or gimmick.  Hasn’t happened yet this year.  But Florida’s giving a freshman QB his first start at Baton Rouge--so it should be an easy one for LSU.  Nevertheless, I’ll predict Les fucks up his offense by playing Jordan Jefferson too much, allowing Florida to hang around most of the game and beat the spread.  Florida.

Iowa +4 at Penn State.  Two mediocre teams in a mediocre conference slogging it out for an invitation to the Citrus Bowl or whatever. Iowa has the better QB, Penn State has the better defense.  Iowa.

Vanderbilt +29 1/2 at Alabama.  That’s a lot of points to give for a conference game, even if it’s Vanderbilt.  Vanderbilt only lost by 18 to South Carolina, and though you figure ‘Bama is 14 points better than SC, they probably won’t be too excited about playing the Commodes, er, uh, the Commodores a week after playing Florida.  Vanderbilt.

Michigan at Northwestern +7 1/2.  I still have my doubts about the improvement in Michigan’s defense.  They fattened their stats last week against one of the sorriest teams of the last 20 years in the Big 10, Minnesota.  Apparently the experts share my doubts, as Michigan, undefeated, ranked 12th, is only spotting 7 1/2 against a .500 Northwestern team that got beat by Army.  Northwestern can put points on the board, as they scored 35 at Illinois last week, and Northwestern’s offense has always caused problems for Michigan, stretching way back to the infamous 54 - 51 loss 11 years ago.  This is the week the bubble finally bursts for Brady Hoke.  Northwestern.

Georgia at Tennesse +1.  What?!?!  Tennesse has played only 1 decent team this year, Florida, and they lost by 10 at home.  They only get one point against Georgia?  Bet the house on this one.  Georgia.

Ohio State +11 at Nebraska.  When was the last time the Buckeyes got 11 points?  Both teams were exposed last week.  Everybody now knows Nebraska is soft, a one dimensional team with a running QB who can’t throw and a terrible defense, and everybody now knows the Buckeyes can’t score points because they don’t have a QB who can either run or pass.  The Buckeyes defense is still solid, but one of these weeks the burden of carrying their horseshit offense will cause them to break.  I don’t think the OSU QBs will be able to handle playing in Lincoln, and numerous turnovers will put enough pressure on the OSU defense to make it crack.  OSU gets buried by a soft team.  Nebraska.

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